✨ CONDITIONAL

Magic Крипто-бот

Telegram bot with AI signals from the Magic module for crypto traders

Category: crypto
Date: 2026-04-09
ID: 5cc4618d…
AI Score ?Weighted result of 6 AI models. 65+ → GO, 50–65 → conditional, below 50 → NO-GO.
71/100
⚠ Conditional GO — risks exist, hypotheses need validation
Financial Dashboard — Key Numbers
Investment Required ?Total capital needed to reach break-even: servers, marketing, development.
$8,000
to get started
Break-even ?The month when monthly profit will cover all startup costs.
Month 15
from launch
MRR Target ?Monthly recurring revenue at which the project is considered successful and ready to scale.
$1,500
per month
Margin ?Share of each dollar remaining after infrastructure, APIs, and direct costs. 70%+ is healthy for SaaS.
~75%
of revenue retained
Monthly Revenue Growth Forecast
Optimistic
Realistic
Pessimistic
Break-even Month 15
Unit Economics — Numbers per Customer
Revenue per Customer ?How much one customer pays per month (ARPU). The higher, the fewer customers needed for strong profit.
$29/mo
per customer avg.
Profitability ?Share of each dollar remaining after servers, APIs, and other direct costs.
~75%
of revenue retained
Break-even ?When startup costs will be fully recovered and the business begins generating net profit.
Month 15–18
to profitability
Development Scenarios
Scenario Revenue by Month 6 Revenue by Month 12 Key Assumption
Pessimistic $20 $96 CAC выше прогноза, конверсия ниже 5%
Realistic $59 $275 По плану: CAC ≤ цели, churn ≤ 5%/мес
Optimistic $147 $687 Виральность сработала, CAC < цели в 2 раза
🛑 When to Stop the Project
K1
Нет конверсий после 100 кликов
leads == 0 AND clicks >= 100
→ пауза трафика, диагностика
K2
CAC превысил LTV × 0.5
cac > ltv * 0.5 AND leads >= 5
→ остановить трафик
K3
Два провала Gate
gate_failures >= 2
→ закрыть проект
Investment & Exit Scenarios

Total Investment Needed

$8,000
to reach profitability
marketing $4,000
dev $2,000
infra $1,200
ops $800

Exit Options

  • Продажа при $5K MRR
    $7K–12K
    probability 40%
  • Bootstrap до $30K+ MRR
    $500K–$2M
    probability 25%
  • Закрыть на любой стадии
    $0 (опыт + код)
    probability 35%

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